Renewable Energy Potential in Bulgaria

There were several studies on the potential for renewables in Bulgaria which show that the potential is considerable (see the table below). However, in the National Long-term Programme for the Promotion of Renewable Energy Sources (2005-2015), the evaluation of the accessible potential for energy generation from renewables is less optimistic. The authors of this programme consider that the total accessible potential for energy generation from all renewables in the country is about 6 Mtoe which according to them in 2015 will be only 38% of the total final consumption, if all the accessible potential is used. This will come mainly from hydro energy and biomass.

Table 3: Potential of renewable energy in Bulgaria

Source	Indicator	Solar [Mtoe]	Wind [Mtoe]	Biomass [Mtoe]	Hydro below 10 MW [Mtoe]	Large hydro [Mtoe]	Geother mal [Mtoe]	Total [Mtoe]
ESD and Ecotherm - Engineering Ltd. 1997	Total resource available	13 000	75	1159	371	336	14 941
Theoretical potential	0.013	75 (?)	3.6	0.122	2.002	0.326	81
Simeonova et al. 1996	Total	14 703	10	5-5.3	1.8	N/A	-	25 458
Accessible	8 169	5 357	-	-	N/A	-	13 526
Reserve	18.4	1.8-2	0.4	1	N/A	0.003	22
National long term program on promotion of RES 2005-2015	Accessible potential	0.390	0.283	2.70	2.282	0.350	6.005

In the same National programme on the promotion of RES, the following estimations for the electricity generation from RES (RES-e) are provided:

Table 4: Forecast for RES-e in 2010 and 2015

Generation of electricity from RES:	until 2010	until 2015
GWh	Ktoe	GWh	ktoe
Biomass (incl. biogas)	418	36.0	849	73.0
Hydro power (incl. large)	2 976	256.0	2 988	257.0
Wind energy	8	0.7	256	22
Photovoltaics	7	0.6	43	3.7
Geothermal Energy	15	1.3	30	2.6
TOTAL:	3 426	294.6	4 166	358.3
Increase compared to 2002	56% or 6% annually	90% or 6% annually

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Renewable Energy Potential in Bulgaria